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Stefon Diggs

Stefon Diggs Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders

Stefon Diggs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Patriots offensive strategy to tilt 2.4% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels now calling the plays.

The predictive model expects the New England Patriots to run the 10th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.1 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The projections expect Stefon Diggs to accrue 7.7 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 86th percentile when it comes to WRs.

With a sizeable 23.8% Target Share (87th percentile) last year, Stefon Diggs has been among the wideouts with the most usage in football.

With an exceptional 5.7 adjusted receptions per game (91st percentile) last year, Stefon Diggs has been as one of the best wide receivers in the NFL in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Patriots to pass on 54.5% of their downs: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The New England offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the league last year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.

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