My Account Log Out
 
 
Stefon Diggs

Stefon Diggs Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Stefon Diggs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-111/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Buffalo Bills to pass on 61.2% of their plays: the 5th-highest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The model projects Stefon Diggs to total 10.5 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 96th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • With a remarkable 29.5% Target% (94th percentile) this year, Stefon Diggs has been as one of the wide receivers with the highest volume in the league.
  • When talking about protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills grades out as the 9th-best in the NFL this year.
  • With an outstanding 7.0 adjusted catches per game (95th percentile) this year, Stefon Diggs rates as one of the leading WRs in the league in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • To the extent of a defense's effect on pace, at 28.97 seconds per play, the model projects the Bills as the slowest in the league (adjusted for context) right now.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been unwilling to rely on the passing game too much against the Chiefs, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 32.0 per game) this year.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™