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Stefon Diggs
NFL · Player Props
Stefon Diggs
WR · Buffalo Bills
Receptions
New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills · Week 13, 2022 Updated Dec 2, 2022 12:36 AM UTC
NFL Props Stefon Diggs Receptions

Stefon Diggs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -140.

Favors Over
  • The Buffalo Bills will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 3.3% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-most pass-centric team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 71.0% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.35 seconds per snap.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 37.0 pass attempts per game versus the New England Patriots defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.
  • THE BLITZ projects Stefon Diggs to garner 10.7 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 97th percentile among wide receivers.
Favors Under
  • The Bills are a big 9.5-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • The New England Patriots pass defense has conceded the 4th-lowest Completion% in football (62.4%) vs. wide receivers this year (62.4%).
  • The New England Patriots cornerbacks rank as the 7th-best collection of CBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
  • The Buffalo Bills have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 13.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
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