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Stefon Diggs

Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

New England Patriots vs Carolina Panthers

Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 35.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Patriots have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to skew 4.4% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).

Stefon Diggs has received a monstrous 22.9% of his offense's air yards since the start of last season: 75th percentile among wide receivers.

Stefon Diggs's 86.4% Adjusted Catch Rate this season shows a noteworthy progression in his receiving prowess over last season's 73.7% figure.

The Panthers linebackers rank as the 2nd-worst LB corps in football since the start of last season in defending receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is indicated by the Patriots being a 5.5-point favorite in this game.

Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to be the 6th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 54.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 124.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Carolina Panthers, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 31.3 per game) since the start of last season.

Stefon Diggs has been a less important option in his offense's passing attack this year (15.0% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (23.8%).

More Stefon Diggs Player Props

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