Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Stefon Diggs

NFL · Player Props

Stefon Diggs

WR · Buffalo Bills

Receiving Yards

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 12, 2023 2:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 69.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Stefon Diggs to accumulate 10.0 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 98th percentile among wide receivers.
Stefon Diggs has been an integral part of his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 28.0% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 95th percentile among WRs.
Stefon Diggs has put up a monstrous 104.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 97th percentile among wide receivers.
Stefon Diggs has been among the leading WRs in the game since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 90.0 yards per game while grading out in the 98th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 6th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Bills to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Buffalo Bills have run the least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 54.8 plays per game.
The Buffalo Bills offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
The New York Jets defense has conceded the least receiving yards per game in football (just 105.0) versus wideouts since the start of last season.

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