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Stefon Diggs

Stefon Diggs Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 9

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

Stefon Diggs Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+114/-151).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -134 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -151.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Stefon Diggs has been a big part of his team's offense near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 29.5% this year, which ranks in the 96th percentile among WRs.

Stefon Diggs has accrued a colossal 113.0 air yards per game this year: 97th percentile among wideouts.

Stefon Diggs's 68.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in football: 93rd percentile for WRs.

Stefon Diggs's ball-catching skills have been refined this season, with his Completion% rising from 66.9% to 78.9%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bills are a huge 10.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.

The New York Jets pass defense has conceded the 7th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (63.2%) versus wideouts this year (63.2%).

The New York Jets cornerbacks project as the best collection of CBs in football this year in pass coverage.

The Buffalo Bills have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 13.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

More Stefon Diggs Player Props

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