Skyy Moore Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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NFL · Player Props

Skyy Moore

WR · Green Bay Packers

Touchdowns

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 11, 2026 3:42 PM EST

Analysis

Skyy Moore Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+574/-719).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Packers to pass on 63.3% of their plays: the 2nd-highest rate among all teams this week.
The model projects the Packers to be the 7th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 60.0% red zone pass rate.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is expected by the projections to see 131.4 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week.
After averaging 8.0 air yards per game last year, Skyy Moore has been rising this year, currently averaging 17.0 per game.
Skyy Moore's 16.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 4.6.

Favors Under

Opposing offenses have averaged 29.0 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the league.
Our trusted projections expect Skyy Moore to be a less important option in his offense's air attack near the goal line this week (9.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (16.0% in games he has played).
The Green Bay offensive line ranks as the worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.
Skyy Moore rates as one of the most unreliable receivers in the NFL, completing just 53.0% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 18th percentile among WRs
With a dreadful rate of only 0.00 per game through the air (1st percentile), Skyy Moore rates as one of the worst receiving TD-scorers in the league among wide receivers this year.