Skyy Moore Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Skyy Moore

NFL · Player Props

Skyy Moore

WR · Green Bay Packers

Touchdowns

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 4, 2026 1:02 PM EST

Analysis

Skyy Moore Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+641/-700).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Green Bay Packers as the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 61.7% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast the Green Bay Packers to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 61.1% red zone pass rate.
Skyy Moore's 18.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive usage) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 4.6.
As it relates to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Tampa Bay's group of safeties has been one of the most skilled since the start of last season, grading out as the 2nd-best in the league.

Favors Under

The Packers are a 3-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Green Bay Packers are expected by our trusted projection set to call only 61.6 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.
The Packers have called the 9th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling just 55.2 plays per game.
The predictive model expects Skyy Moore to be a less important option in his team's pass attack near the goal line in this game (9.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (16.7% in games he has played).
When it comes to air yards, Skyy Moore grades out in the paltry 20th percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season, accruing just 11.0 per game.

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