Skyy Moore Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Skyy Moore

WR · Green Bay Packers

Touchdowns

Green Bay Packers vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 24, 2026 8:03 PM EST

Analysis

Skyy Moore Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+641/-669).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Packers to be the 8th-most pass-focused team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 62.2% pass rate.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to have 130.0 offensive plays called: the 4th-most among all games this week.
Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally cause better passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced rush volume.
While Skyy Moore has earned 1.3% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played since the start of last season, our trusted projections expect him to be much more involved in Green Bay's offense near the end zone in this week's contest at 6.6%.
Since the start of last season, the weak Falcons defense has surrendered a monstrous 1.05 TDs through the air per game to opposing wideouts: the 6th-worst rate in football.

Favors Under

This game's spread indicates a running game script for the Packers, who are favored by 4.5 points.
The Green Bay Packers have run the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 54.9 plays per game.
In regards to air yards, Skyy Moore ranks in the paltry 20th percentile among wideouts since the start of last season, with just 10.0 per game.
Skyy Moore's 6.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the worst in the NFL: 8th percentile for WRs.
The receiving touchdown column reads "0" on the back of Skyy Moore's trading card since the start of last season.