Skyy Moore Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Skyy Moore

NFL · Player Props

Skyy Moore

WR · Green Bay Packers

Receptions

Green Bay Packers vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 24, 2026 8:23 PM EST

Analysis

Skyy Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+129/-139).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +123 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Packers to be the 8th-most pass-focused team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 62.2% pass rate.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to have 130.0 offensive plays called: the 4th-most among all games this week.
Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally cause better passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced rush volume.
When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Atlanta's group of LBs has been very bad since the start of last season, projecting as the 9th-worst in football.

Favors Under

This game's spread indicates a running game script for the Packers, who are favored by 4.5 points.
The Green Bay Packers have run the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 54.9 plays per game.
Skyy Moore has been has not been looked to very often his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of just 2.1% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 6th percentile among wide receivers.
With a feeble 0.6 adjusted receptions per game (4th percentile) since the start of last season, Skyy Moore places among the bottom wide receivers in the game in the NFL.
Since the start of last season, the fierce Atlanta Falcons defense has conceded a measly 62.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 8th-lowest rate in the league.

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