Skyy Moore Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Skyy Moore

NFL · Player Props

Skyy Moore

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Receptions

New England Patriots vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Skyy Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+159/-224).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -179 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -224.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the 4th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.0% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Skyy Moore has run fewer routes this season (50.9% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (24.5%).
This year, the weak Patriots pass defense has surrendered a monstrous 66.8% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the 10th-biggest rate in the league.
The New England cornerbacks project as the 9th-worst unit in the league this year in defending receivers.

Favors Under

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual game plan.
Skyy Moore's ball-catching skills have declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 67.7% to 59.2%.

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