Skyy Moore Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Skyy Moore

NFL · Player Props

Skyy Moore

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 8, 2023 7:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Skyy Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-104/-131).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -131.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 65.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to run the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.8 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
After averaging 18.0 air yards per game last year, Skyy Moore has shown good development this year, currently boasting 38.0 per game.
Skyy Moore's 24.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 13.0.

Favors Under

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored in this week's game, indicating more of a reliance on running than their usual approach.
Skyy Moore's sure-handedness have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 67.7% to 51.8%.
Skyy Moore's pass-catching efficiency has worsened this year, totaling a measly 7.66 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 8.67 rate last year.
With a bad 0.21 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (19th percentile) since the start of last season, Skyy Moore stands as one of the leading wide receivers in the league in football in picking up extra yardage.
The Vikings safeties profile as the 2nd-best group of safeties in the league this year in pass coverage.

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