Skyy Moore Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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NFL · Player Props

Skyy Moore

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 10, 2022 11:45 PM UTC

Analysis

Skyy Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-138/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.
The Las Vegas Raiders defense has given up the most receiving yards per game in the league (171.0) to wideouts this year.
The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has given up the 2nd-highest Completion% in the league (67.9%) to wideouts since the start of last season (67.9%).
The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers grade out as the worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line has afforded their QB 2.60 seconds before getting pressured (best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The Chiefs are a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 63.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run among all games this week at 128.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has shown good efficiency versus wideouts since the start of last season, conceding 7.73 yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-least in the league.
The Kansas City Chiefs have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 9.3% of their plays since the start of last season, least in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.