Skyy Moore Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

reorder

NFL · Player Props

Skyy Moore

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 1:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Skyy Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the 3rd-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 66.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 136.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Kansas City Chiefs O-line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has conceded the 6th-highest Completion% in football (69.5%) to wide receivers this year (69.5%).
The Kansas City Chiefs O-line has afforded their QB 2.60 seconds before getting pressured (best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all pass game statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The Chiefs are a massive 9.5-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
Opposing teams have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 9th-least in football.
The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.31 yards-after-the-catch this year: the least in the NFL.
The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers profile as the 6th-best collection of LBs in the league this year in pass coverage.
The Kansas City Chiefs have faced a stacked the box on a mere 9.3% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.