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Skylar Thompson

Skylar Thompson TD Passes
Player Prop Week 6

Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings

Skylar Thompson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+150/-190).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Miami Dolphins will be rolling with backup quarterback Skylar Thompson in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

The Dolphins are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 10th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 59.1% red zone pass rate.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 3rd-highest clip in the league against the Minnesota Vikings defense this year (75.6%).

The Minnesota Vikings safeties profile as the 8th-worst collection of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Dolphins boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Mike McDaniel, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.9% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins offense to be the 4th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 29.95 seconds per play.

Opposing offenses have averaged 34.0 pass attempts per game versus the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 10th-least in football.

The Miami Dolphins offensive line ranks as the 2nd-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

The Minnesota Vikings defense has allowed the 4th-least passing TDs in football: 0.80 per game this year.

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