Simi Fehoko Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Simi Fehoko

NFL · Player Props

Simi Fehoko

WR · Arizona Cardinals

Touchdowns

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 27, 2026 12:58 PM EST

Analysis

Simi Fehoko Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+2700/-4200).

Key Factors

Favors Over

An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Cardinals being a huge -7.5-point underdog this week.
The projections expect the Arizona Cardinals as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 61.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a staggering 59.2 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have rushed for the 7th-fewest touchdowns in football (0.74 per game) vs. the 49ers defense since the start of last season.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Cardinals are expected by the projections to run just 61.0 offensive plays in this contest: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.
Arizona's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially too high (and running stats decreased) considering playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL. We figure to be able to expect some regression with windier weather this week.
With a middling 0.0% Red Zone Target Share (1st percentile) since the start of last season, Simi Fehoko ranks as one of the WRs with the biggest workloads near the end zone in football.
Simi Fehoko has accumulated a paltry 0.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 1st percentile among wideouts.
Simi Fehoko's 0.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive usage) ranks him among the worst in the league: 0th percentile for wide receivers.

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