Sean Tucker Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Sean Tucker

NFL · Player Props

Sean Tucker

RB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Touchdowns

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers · Week 4, 2026

Updated Sep 30, 2026 1:42 PM EST

Analysis

Sean Tucker Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1464/-2041).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's spread implies a passing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
With a 80.0% rate of throwing the ball near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year, the most pass-centric offense in the NFL in this regard has been the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
The Packers defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (33.6 per game) since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, the porous Green Bay Packers defense has been torched for a staggering 73.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 6th-largest rate in the NFL.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers to pass on 54.3% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
The Buccaneers offense has played at the 10th-slowest pace in football (adjusted for context) this year, averaging 29.32 seconds per play.
The Green Bay Packers defense has allowed the fewest receiving TDs in the league to RBs: 0.00 per game since the start of last season.
The Green Bay Packers safeties grade out as the 5th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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