Sean Tucker Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Sean Tucker

NFL · Player Props

Sean Tucker

RB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Touchdowns

Cincinnati Bengals vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 1, 2026

Updated Sep 11, 2026 2:03 PM EST

Analysis

Sean Tucker Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+450/-540).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 9th-most plays in football last year, totaling a massive 58.9 plays per game.
The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has been gouged for the 10th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (84.2%) versus RBs last year (84.2%).
Last year, the weak Cincinnati Bengals defense has yielded a whopping 0.41 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing running backs: the 2nd-highest rate in football.

Favors Under

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buccaneers to pass on 55.9% of their chances: the 7th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Cincinnati's unit has been fantastic last year, projecting as the 7th-best in the league.

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