Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Saquon Barkley

NFL · Player Props

Saquon Barkley

RB · New York Giants

Rushing Yards

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 68.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 64.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 68.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New York Giants to run on 49.8% of their downs: the 2nd-highest rate on the slate this week.
The 9th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Giants this year (a colossal 61.8 per game on average).
The forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
Our trusted projections expect Saquon Barkley to total 20.5 carries in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 99th percentile among RBs.
Saquon Barkley has been given 60.7% of his team's carries this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

The Giants may take to the air less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to start backup quarterback Tyrod Taylor.
At a -3-point disadvantage, the Giants are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a reliance on passing than their standard game plan.
In regards to run support (and the ramifications it has on all ground game statistics), the offensive line of the Giants profiles as the 5th-worst in football last year.

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