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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

New York Giants vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 77.5 (-140/+109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 77.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 77.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 10th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 43.2% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to total 18.9 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 97th percentile among running backs.
  • Saquon Barkley has earned 57.9% of his team's carries since the start of last season, putting him in the 89th percentile among running backs.
  • Saquon Barkley has grinded out 50.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the biggest marks in the league among RBs (82nd percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The New York Giants have run the 8th-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling just 60.8 plays per game.
  • The New York Giants O-line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
  • The Carolina Panthers have stacked the box vs. opponents on 26.1% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The New York Giants have utilized motion in their offense on 26.6% of their plays since the start of last season (2nd-least in the league), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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