Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Saquon Barkley

NFL · Player Props

Saquon Barkley

RB · New York Giants

Rushing Yards

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 8:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 65.5 (-103/-133).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 68.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 65.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 8th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 44.3% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 2nd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 68.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 60.0 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to accrue 19.7 rush attempts in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 98th percentile among RBs.
Saquon Barkley has been a much bigger part of his team's running game this season (73.1% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (58.1%).

Favors Under

The Giants are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
The New York Giants O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year at opening holes for runners.
The Philadelphia Eagles defensive ends rank as the best group of DEs in the league this year when it comes to run defense.
The New York Giants have used motion in their offense on 26.6% of their play-calls since the start of last season (2nd-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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