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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 65.5 (-103/-133).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 68.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 65.5 @ -133.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 8th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 44.3% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 2nd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 68.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The New York Giants have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 60.0 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to accrue 19.7 rush attempts in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 98th percentile among RBs.
  • Saquon Barkley has been a much bigger part of his team's running game this season (73.1% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (58.1%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Giants are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The New York Giants O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year at opening holes for runners.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles defensive ends rank as the best group of DEs in the league this year when it comes to run defense.
  • The New York Giants have used motion in their offense on 26.6% of their play-calls since the start of last season (2nd-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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