Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Saquon Barkley

NFL · Player Props

Saquon Barkley

RB · New York Giants

Rushing Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 24, 2022 9:36 PM EST

Analysis

Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 73.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 74.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 73.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 6th-most run-centric team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 42.8% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 61.6 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to garner 18.9 carries this week, on average, placing him in the 95th percentile among RBs.
Saquon Barkley has been a more important option in his team's rushing attack this year (74.2% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (58.1%).

Favors Under

The Giants are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The New York Giants O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in football this year at run-game blocking.
The New York Giants have incorporated motion in their offense on 26.6% of their play-calls since the start of last season (2nd-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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