Saquon Barkley Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Saquon Barkley

NFL · Player Props

Saquon Barkley

RB · New York Giants

Rushing TD

New York Giants vs Houston Texans · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 13, 2022 5:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Saquon Barkley Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-137/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 5th-most run-centric team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 48.1% red zone run rate.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 2nd-fastest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 27.20 seconds per play.
Saquon Barkley has been given 61.5% of his team's red zone carries this year, placing him in the 91st percentile among RBs.
Saquon Barkley has rushed for 0.62 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the highest figures in football among RBs (90th percentile).

Favors Under

The New York Giants O-line grades out as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year at blocking for rushers.
The New York Giants have utilized motion in their offense on 26.6% of their plays since the start of last season (2nd-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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