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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 10

New York Giants vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Saquon Barkley Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-137/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -137.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Giants are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 5th-most run-centric team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 48.1% red zone run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 2nd-fastest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 27.20 seconds per play.
  • Saquon Barkley has been given 61.5% of his team's red zone carries this year, placing him in the 91st percentile among RBs.
  • Saquon Barkley has rushed for 0.62 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the highest figures in football among RBs (90th percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The New York Giants O-line grades out as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year at blocking for rushers.
  • The New York Giants have utilized motion in their offense on 26.6% of their plays since the start of last season (2nd-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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