Saquon Barkley Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Saquon Barkley

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Receptions

Chicago Bears vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 28, 2026 8:17 PM EST

Analysis

Saquon Barkley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+119/-152).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +123 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +119.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-most plays run among all games this week at 129.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Eagles have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to mean increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved passing offense performance when facing more favorable weather this week.
Saquon Barkley has run a route on 55.2% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among running backs.
In this contest, Saquon Barkley is expected by the projections to find himself in the 79th percentile among RBs with 3.0 targets.
The Eagles offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all pass game statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a running game script.
Our trusted projections expect the Eagles to be the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Saquon Barkley has been one of the most hard-handed receivers in the league among RBs, catching just 73.4% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, ranking in the 9th percentile.
When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Chicago's group of safeties has been phenomenal since the start of last season, ranking as the 5th-best in the league.