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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Philadelphia Eagles vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Saquon Barkley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +130 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 131.8 total plays called: the 4th-highest number among all games this week.
  • The 5th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Eagles this year (a colossal 60.5 per game on average).
  • The predictive model expects Saquon Barkley to total 3.7 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 84th percentile among running backs.
  • Saquon Barkley comes in as one of the best RBs in the pass game this year, averaging an outstanding 3.0 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 83rd percentile.
  • Saquon Barkley's sure-handedness have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 72.6% to 87.1%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Eagles are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 54.8% of their chances: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to rely on the passing game too much against the Cleveland Browns, averaging the 7th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 30.6 per game) this year.
  • Saquon Barkley's 22.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive volume) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 27.4.
  • The Browns pass defense has conceded the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (78.6%) to running backs since the start of last season (78.6%).

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