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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

New Orleans Saints vs Philadelphia Eagles

Saquon Barkley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+125/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Eagles are projected by the projections to run 65.2 offensive plays in this contest: the 9th-most among all teams this week.

The 3rd-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles since the start of last season (a massive 60.6 per game on average).

The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

The model projects Saquon Barkley to garner 4.5 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to running backs.

Saquon Barkley's 26.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 98th percentile for running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Eagles are favored in this game, implying more of a reliance on rushing than their typical approach.

The model projects the Eagles to be the 8th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 54.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

With a feeble 73.5% Adjusted Catch Rate (16th percentile) since the start of last season, Saquon Barkley stands among the most unreliable receivers in the NFL among running backs.

The New Orleans Saints pass defense has given up the lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (72.4%) to running backs since the start of last season (72.4%).

When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, New Orleans's collection of safeties has been outstanding since the start of last season, grading out as the 5th-best in the NFL.

More Saquon Barkley Player Props

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