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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Philadelphia Eagles vs Atlanta Falcons

Saquon Barkley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-192/+145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -133 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -192.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the projection model to see 137.2 total plays called: the highest number out of all the games this week.

The 6th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles since the start of last season (a staggering 60.4 per game on average).

Our trusted projections expect Saquon Barkley to earn 4.5 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among RBs.

Saquon Barkley places in the 98th percentile when it comes to running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) with a monstrous 26.8 figure since the start of last season.

The Philadelphia offensive line grades out as the best in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all air attack metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Eagles are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 54.5% of their chances: the lowest rate on the slate this week.

Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Atlanta Falcons, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (just 32.3 per game) since the start of last season.

Saquon Barkley profiles as one of the most hard-handed receivers in football when it comes to running backs, hauling in a mere 72.6% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, grading out in the 16th percentile.

The Falcons pass defense has surrendered the 9th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (78.4%) to RBs since the start of last season (78.4%).

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