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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Saquon Barkley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-190/+155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -190 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +155.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may suffer.
  • Saquon Barkley's receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 72.6% to 88.2%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line suggests a rushing game script for the Eagles, who are favored by 4 points.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Eagles to pass on 51.0% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast the Eagles offense to be the 7th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 29.04 seconds per play.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 29.2 pass attempts per game against the Washington Commanders defense this year: 4th-fewest in the league.
  • Saquon Barkley's 19.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 27.4.

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