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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Saquon Barkley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+102/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -132.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Giants are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 10th-fastest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 27.91 seconds per play.
  • Saquon Barkley has been more involved as a potential target this season (71.7% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (51.4%).
  • THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to accumulate 5.3 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 98th percentile among running backs.
  • Saquon Barkley has been among the leading RB receiving threats this year, averaging an impressive 3.5 receptions per game while checking in at the 89th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 4th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • The New York Giants O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • The New York Giants O-line has afforded their QB just 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (8th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.

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