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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

New York Giants vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Saquon Barkley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+124/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -155.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to accumulate 6.2 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile among running backs.
  • Saquon Barkley has been an integral part of his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 14.7% since the start of last season, which places him in the 98th percentile among RBs.
  • Saquon Barkley has been among the best RB receiving threats since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 3.4 receptions per game while checking in at the 94th percentile.
  • Saquon Barkley's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% rising from 72.3% to 87.6%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 10th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 56.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The New York Giants have run the 8th-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling just 60.8 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game versus the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-least in the league.
  • The New York Giants O-line profiles as the 2nd-worst in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass game stats across the board.
  • The Carolina Panthers pass defense has conceded the 8th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (77.3%) versus running backs since the start of last season (77.3%).

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