Saquon Barkley Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Saquon Barkley

RB · New York Giants

Receptions

New York Giants vs Carolina Panthers · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Saquon Barkley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+124/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to accumulate 6.2 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile among running backs.
Saquon Barkley has been an integral part of his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 14.7% since the start of last season, which places him in the 98th percentile among RBs.
Saquon Barkley has been among the best RB receiving threats since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 3.4 receptions per game while checking in at the 94th percentile.
Saquon Barkley's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% rising from 72.3% to 87.6%.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 10th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 56.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New York Giants have run the 8th-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling just 60.8 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game versus the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-least in the league.
The New York Giants O-line profiles as the 2nd-worst in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass game stats across the board.
The Carolina Panthers pass defense has conceded the 8th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (77.3%) versus running backs since the start of last season (77.3%).