Saquon Barkley Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 19

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Saquon Barkley

NFL · Player Props

Saquon Barkley

RB · New York Giants

Receptions

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Giants · Week 19, 2022

Updated Jan 19, 2023 4:28 PM UTC

Analysis

Saquon Barkley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-200/+151).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -143 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -200.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 134.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 59.6 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing teams have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game versus the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 58.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New York Giants offensive line profiles as the worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
The New York Giants O-line has allowed their QB a mere 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (5th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
The New York Giants have incorporated motion in their offense on 26.6% of their play-calls since the start of last season (least in the NFL), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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