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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Washington Commanders vs New York Giants

Saquon Barkley Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+135/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +145 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Giants are a heavy 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 6th-quickest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, leading opposing offenses to average 27.50 seconds per play.

Saquon Barkley has been more involved as a potential target this year (65.2% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (51.3%).

THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to accumulate 4.3 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 95th percentile among RBs.

Saquon Barkley has been among the leading RB receiving threats this year, averaging a stellar 3.3 receptions per game while checking in at the 93rd percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 9th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 53.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game against the Washington Commanders defense this year: 4th-least in the NFL.

The New York Giants offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.

The Washington Commanders pass defense has allowed the 6th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (75.7%) versus running backs this year (75.7%).

The Washington Commanders safeties profile as the best safety corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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