Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Saquon Barkley

NFL · Player Props

Saquon Barkley

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 4, 2026 7:42 PM EST

Analysis

Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are forecasted by the predictive model to call 65.2 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.
Opposing teams have averaged 34.5 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Rams defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the league.
Saquon Barkley has run a route on 54.6% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among running backs.
The model projects Saquon Barkley to garner 3.7 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Favors Under

The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 9th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 56.0% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The Eagles have called the 6th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a measly 54.6 plays per game.
Saquon Barkley's receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 75.5% to 46.9%.
Saquon Barkley's receiving effectiveness has declined this season, compiling a measly 0.84 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 5.23 mark last season.
Since the start of last season, the strong Los Angeles Rams defense has given up a feeble 77.9% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the 6th-smallest rate in football.

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