Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Saquon Barkley

NFL · Player Props

Saquon Barkley

RB · New York Giants

Receiving Yards

New York Giants vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 2, 2023 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 9th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Saquon Barkley has been more involved as a potential target this year (66.6% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (51.3%).
THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to total 5.5 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 96th percentile among RBs.
Saquon Barkley has been among the top pass-catching running backs this year, averaging a stellar 21.0 yards per game while ranking in the 83rd percentile.
Saquon Barkley's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Completion% rising from 72.4% to 80.3%.

Favors Under

The Giants are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 52.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 7th-least in the league.
Saquon Barkley has accumulated a measly -3.0 air yards per game this year: just 9th percentile among running backs.
The New York Giants O-line profiles as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all air attack stats across the board.

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