Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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NFL · Player Props

Saquon Barkley

RB · New York Giants

Receiving Yards

Tennessee Titans vs New York Giants · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM EST

Analysis

Saquon Barkley Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-131/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -131.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to accumulate 5.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 96th percentile among RBs.
Saquon Barkley has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, earning a Target Share of 13.7% since the start of last season, which places him in the 94th percentile among running backs.
Saquon Barkley has totaled a whopping 2.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 78th percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 4th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have run the 10th-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 60.9 plays per game.
The New York Giants offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Saquon Barkley has been among the most hard-handed receivers in football among running backs, catching a measly 72.3% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 16th percentile.
Saquon Barkley has been among the least efficient pass-catchers in football among running backs, averaging a lowly 4.14 yards-per-target since the start of last season while checking in at the 6th percentile.