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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 6

New York Giants vs Baltimore Ravens

Saquon Barkley Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+412/-897).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +433 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +412.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Giants are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.

The New York Giants have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 61.2 plays per game.

The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing QBs have averaged 42.6 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.

THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to be a more important option in his team's passing offense near the end zone this week (15.3% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (7.7% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The New York Giants O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.

Saquon Barkley has not caught any touchdowns this year.

The Baltimore Ravens defense has conceded the least touchdowns through the air in the NFL to running backs: 0.00 per game this year.

The Baltimore Ravens safeties project as the 10th-best collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

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