Saquon Barkley Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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NFL · Player Props

Saquon Barkley

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Carries

Philadelphia Eagles vs Cleveland Browns · Week 6, 2024

Updated Oct 13, 2024 10:01 PM EST

Analysis

Saquon Barkley Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Eagles to run on 45.2% of their opportunities: the 7th-highest rate among all teams this week.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 131.8 total plays called: the 4th-highest number among all games this week.
The 5th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Eagles this year (a colossal 60.5 per game on average).
In this game, Saquon Barkley is forecasted by the model to find himself in the 98th percentile among RBs with 18.8 carries.

Favors Under

The Browns linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best LB corps in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.