Saquon Barkley Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Saquon Barkley

NFL · Player Props

Saquon Barkley

RB · New York Giants

Carries

Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Giants · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 3:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Saquon Barkley Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ +103 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New York Giants to run on 44.3% of their chances: the 6th-highest frequency among all teams this week.
The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the New York Giants this year (a massive 62.2 per game on average).
Our trusted projections expect Saquon Barkley to accrue 17.4 rush attempts this week, on balance, ranking him in the 96th percentile when it comes to RBs.
Among all RBs, Saquon Barkley ranks in the 95th percentile for carries this year, accounting for 65.5% of the workload in his team's rushing attack.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Giants to run the 4th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.3 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
In regards to run support (and the importance it has on all ground game metrics), the O-line of the New York Giants profiles as the 8th-worst in football last year.
The Las Vegas defensive ends profile as the best group of DEs in football this year with their run defense.

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