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Saquon Barkley

Saquon Barkley Carries
Player Prop Week 19

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Saquon Barkley Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -143.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 10th-most run-centric offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 41.5% run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 134.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The New York Giants have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 59.6 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to accrue 18.3 rush attempts in this game, on average, putting him in the 100th percentile among RBs.
  • Saquon Barkley has been much more involved in his offense's run game this year (71.7% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (58.1%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Giants are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The New York Giants offensive line profiles as the 4th-worst in the league this year in run blocking.
  • The Minnesota Vikings defensive tackles rank as the best collection of DTs in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

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