Saquon Barkley Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Saquon Barkley

NFL · Player Props

Saquon Barkley

RB · New York Giants

Carries

Tennessee Titans vs New York Giants · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM EST

Analysis

Saquon Barkley Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-137/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to earn 14.8 carries in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 90th percentile among RBs.
Saquon Barkley has been given 58.1% of his team's rush attempts since the start of last season, ranking in the 89th percentile among running backs.
The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in football. Choosing not to keep an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
The New York Giants have gone no-huddle on 30.1% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-most in the league). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat production.

Favors Under

The Giants are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 4th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have run the 10th-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 60.9 plays per game.
The New York Giants O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
The Tennessee Titans safeties profile as the 5th-best safety corps in football since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

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