Samaje Perine Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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NFL · Player Props

Samaje Perine

RB · Cincinnati Bengals

Rushing Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 4, 2026 4:32 PM EST

Analysis

Samaje Perine Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-183/+152).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +152.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Bengals to run on 35.0% of their opportunities: the lowest clip among all teams this week.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the projection model to have only 124.7 offensive plays run: the 3rd-fewest among all games this week.
The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Since the start of last season, the fierce Jacksonville Jaguars run defense has yielded a meager 82.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing squads: the fewest in the league.
The Jaguars defensive ends profile as the 6th-best unit in football since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.