Samaje Perine Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

reorder

NBA Season Tips Off Soon — Don’t Miss the Action! 🏀 🏀 SUBSCRIBE NOW

NFL · Player Props

Samaje Perine

RB · Cincinnati Bengals

Receptions

Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 11, 2026 12:47 PM EST

Analysis

Samaje Perine Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+140/-180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -180.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Bengals as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 62.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Dolphins pass defense has given up the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (88.2%) versus running backs since the start of last season (88.2%).
As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Miami's collection of safeties has been awful this year, profiling as the 5th-worst in football.

Favors Under

This week's line suggests an extreme running game script for the Bengals, who are a heavy favorite by 7 points.
The projections expect this game to have the fewest plays run among all games this week at 120.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game versus the Dolphins defense this year: 8th-fewest in football.
Samaje Perine's 72.4% Adjusted Completion Rate this season marks a meaningful decline in his receiving prowess over last season's 86.8% mark.