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Samaje Perine

Samaje Perine Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Atlanta Falcons vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Samaje Perine Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs as the most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 64.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Our trusted projections expect Samaje Perine to notch 4.5 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 92nd percentile among running backs.
  • With a high 10.8% Target% (82nd percentile) since the start of last season, Samaje Perine has been as one of the pass-game running backs with the most usage in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is suggested by the Chiefs being a 3-point favorite in this game.
  • The Falcons linebackers grade out as the 10th-best collection of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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