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Samaje Perine

Samaje Perine Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens

Samaje Perine Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+126/-165).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Chiefs to be the most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 65.1% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game against the Ravens defense last year: most in the league.

Samaje Perine has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 11.5% last year, which ranks in the 85th percentile when it comes to running backs.

The Kansas City Chiefs O-line profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL last year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

Samaje Perine ranks as one of the best pass-catching RBs last year, averaging a stellar 2.9 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 82nd percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line implies a running game script for the Chiefs, who are favored by 3 points.

In terms of a defense's impact on tempo, at 28.36 seconds per snap, the model projects the Chiefs to be the 6th-most sluggish in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time.

The Ravens safeties profile as the best collection of safeties in the NFL last year in covering pass-catchers.

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