Samaje Perine Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Samaje Perine

NFL · Player Props

Samaje Perine

RB · Cincinnati Bengals

Receptions

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 10, 2022 12:05 AM UTC

Analysis

Samaje Perine Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+132/-180).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 6th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 71.8 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 45.0 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
The Baltimore Ravens have stacked the box vs. opponents on 18.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Cincinnati Bengals O-line grades out as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
Samaje Perine's ball-catching skills have worsened this season, with his Completion% falling off from 87.5% to 76.4%.
The Baltimore Ravens safeties grade out as the 8th-best safety corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line has afforded their QB just 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
The Baltimore Ravens defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 5th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

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