Samaje Perine Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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NFL · Player Props

Samaje Perine

RB · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 11, 2026 3:42 PM EST

Analysis

Samaje Perine Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Bengals as the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 62.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
As it relates to air yards, Samaje Perine ranks in the lofty 89th percentile among RBs this year, averaging a striking 4.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, that is far more notable than it sounds since most RBs average negative air yards).
Samaje Perine has accrued substantially more adjusted receiving yards per game (11.0) this year than he did last year (6.0).
Samaje Perine's 6.3 adjusted yards per target this year reflects a noteworthy boost in his pass-catching talent over last year's 4.4 rate.
The Dolphins defense has conceded the 4th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (41.0) to running backs this year.

Favors Under

This week's line suggests an extreme running game script for the Bengals, who are a heavy favorite by 7 points.
The projections expect this game to have the fewest plays run among all games this week at 120.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game versus the Dolphins defense this year: 8th-fewest in football.
Samaje Perine's 72.4% Adjusted Completion Rate this season marks a meaningful decline in his receiving prowess over last season's 86.8% mark.