Samaje Perine Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Samaje Perine

NFL · Player Props

Samaje Perine

RB · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Samaje Perine Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-104/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 10th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 62.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Bengals to run the 3rd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 68.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Samaje Perine to accrue 3.5 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 79th percentile among RBs.
Samaje Perine has been a big part of his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 9.3% this year, which puts him in the 79th percentile among running backs.
Samaje Perine has posted many more receiving yards per game (21.0) this season than he did last season (13.0).

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Opposing offenses have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 10th-least in the league.
Samaje Perine has accrued a puny -1.0 air yards per game this year: just 23rd percentile among RBs.
Samaje Perine's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 84.2% to 81.0%.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has given up the least receiving yards per game in football (just 23.0) versus running backs this year.

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