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Samaje Perine

Samaje Perine Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Tennessee Titans vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Samaje Perine Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-150/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 6th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 60.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 40.8 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in football.
  • THE BLITZ projects Samaje Perine to total 4.4 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile among RBs.
  • THE BLITZ projects Samaje Perine to be a more important option in his team's passing attack this week (12.8% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (7.3% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals O-line grades out as the 8th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • The Tennessee Titans pass defense has shown good efficiency versus RBs this year, conceding 5.24 yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-least in football.
  • The Tennessee Titans pass defense has performed very well when opposing running backs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 5.96 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-least in the league.

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