My Account Log Out
 
 
Samaje Perine

Samaje Perine Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 12

Tennessee Titans vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Samaje Perine Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+411/-895).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +436 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +411.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 60.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 40.8 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in football.
  • THE BLITZ projects Samaje Perine to be much more involved in his offense's pass attack near the goal line this week (14.4% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (9.3% in games he has played).
  • Samaje Perine has been among the most reliable receivers in the league among running backs, hauling in a terrific 89.3% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile.
  • Samaje Perine ranks in the 99th percentile among running backs when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a stellar 0.40 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals O-line grades out as the 8th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • The Tennessee Titans safeties profile as the 4th-best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals O-line has given their QB just 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™