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Sam LaPorta

Sam LaPorta Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

Sam LaPorta Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-155/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +125 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Lions as the 7th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 60.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to call the 7th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The 9th-most plays in football have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a colossal 59.6 per game on average).

The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

Opposing offenses have averaged 47.4 pass attempts per game versus the Vikings defense this year: most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Sam LaPorta's 2.6 adjusted catches per game this year conveys a meaningful reduction in his pass-catching ability over last year's 5.0 figure.

The Vikings linebackers rank as the 3rd-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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